Probabilistic quantitative precipitation field forecasting using a two-stage spatial model
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting using a Two-Stage Spatial Model
Short-range forecasts of precipitation fields are required in a wealth of agricultural, hydrological, ecological and other applications. Forecasts from numerical weather prediction models are often biased and do not provide uncertainty information. Here we present a postprocessing technique for such numerical forecasts that produces correlated probabilistic forecasts of precipitation accumulati...
متن کاملProbabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Field Forecasting Using a Two-stage Spatial Model1 by Veronica
Short-range forecasts of precipitation fields are needed in a wealth of agricultural, hydrological, ecological and other applications. Forecasts from numerical weather prediction models are often biased and do not provide uncertainty information. Here we present a postprocessing technique for such numerical forecasts that produces correlated probabilistic forecasts of precipitation accumulation...
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Short-range forecasts of precipitation fields are needed in a wealth of agricultural, hydrological, ecological and other applications. Forecasts from numerical weather prediction models are often biased and do not provide uncertainty information. Here we present a postprocessing technique for such numerical forecasts that produces correlated probabilistic forecasts of precipitation accumulation...
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Accurate weather forecasts benefit society in crucial functions, including agriculture, transportation, recreation, and basic human and infrastructural safety. Over the past two decades, ensembles of numerical weather prediction models have been developed, in which multiple estimates of the current state of the atmosphere are used to generate probabilistic forecasts for future weather events. H...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: The Annals of Applied Statistics
سال: 2008
ISSN: 1932-6157
DOI: 10.1214/08-aoas203